I am a Citizen.
I am a Whistleblower with a known face and address.
I have ingested too much of Nassim Nicholas Taleb.
I rise to predict that the greediot President will lose in a coup in Danquah’s Ghana.
The coupists have noticed enough of the breakdown in command and control, discipline, order, loyalty in the Security Agencies.
The coupists have noticed enough of the breakdown in the moral fibre of the greediot President, government appointees and their families and friends.
The coupists have noticed enough of the hopelessness, helplessness, uselessness and needlessness in the YOUTH.
Do you doubt a coup in Danquah’s Ghana?
Just imagine how little of your understanding of the mood on the eve of the USA 11th September, 2001 event would help you guess what was to happen next.
Think of the terrorist attack on that hour on September 11.
Had the risk been conceivable on September 10, it would not have happened.
If such a possibility were deemed worthy of attention, fighter planes would have circled the sky above the twin towers, airplanes would have had bullet proof doors, and the attack would not have taken place.
Something else might have taken place.
Isn’t it strange to see a coup happening in Danquah’s Ghana precisely because it is not supposed to happen?
What kind of defence do the Government and the Security Agencies have against a coup?
Whatever you come to know about the coup may become inconsequential if the coupists know that you know it.
It may be odd that, in such a strategic game, what you know can be truly inconsequential.
The coup in Danquah’s Ghana is a Black Swan dynamic.
The coup is a Black Swan because of the following three attributes:
First, it is an outlier, as it lies outside the realm of regular expectations in the country, because nothing happening now can convincingly point to its possiblity.
Second, it carries an extreme impact.
Third, inspite of its outlier status, human nature will make us concoct explanations for its occurence after the fact, making it explainable and predictable.
I stop and summarize the triplet: rarity, extreme impact and retrospective predictability.
Black Swan logic makes what you don’t know far more relevant than what you do know.
I stick my neck out and make a claim, against many of our habits of thought, that our country is dominated by the extreme, the unknown, and the improbable (improbable according to our current knowledge)- and all the while we spend our time engaged in small talk, focusing on the known, and the repeated.
This implies the need to use the extreme event of the coup as a starting point and not treat it as an exception to be pushed under the rug.
If you read and imagine you can stop a coup in Danquah’s Ghana, then you need to quickly take a bathe in the Accra Neoplan Station area of the Odaw river.
Is a coup not an instance of successfully achieving something difficult?
Chat with Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo
and he will admit that it was a major coup to get Eleonar Nkansah-Dwamena off his back in order to woo and marry Rebecca Hackenburg Griffiths-Randolph.
Did US Democratic Party 2020 presidential candidate, former Vice President Joseph Robinette Biden, stage a coup in South Carolina?
I Shall Retunr (sic).
Owula Mangortey
Odumase-Dodowa
6th March, 2020.