Bloomberg: Cedi ranks among “Worst Spot Returns” in quarter 1 of 2022

Despite the country benefiting immensely from the high price of crude oil on the international market and to some extent the favourable price of gold, the cedi has not fared well so far this year.

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The cedi recorded an 18.21% rate of depreciation to the US dollar in the first quarter of 2022, according to Bloomberg.

This still ranked the local currency as the worst among African currencies with the “Worst Spot Returns”. However, for the timely intervention by the Bank of Ghana, the situation could have been worse.

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Despite the country benefiting immensely from the high price of crude oil on the international market and to some extent the favourable price of gold, the cedi has not fared well so far this year.

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It came under severe pressure, particularly in the months of February 2022 and early March 2022. This was largely as a result of the immense demand for the US dollar, as investors seek dollar-denominated assets, due to unfavourable ratings of Ghana’s economic outlook by rating agencies, Fitch and Moody’s.

The government had also faced stiff opposition in getting some revenue bills, particularly the Electronic Transaction Levy, from getting passed. Similarly, investors wanted some reassurance from the government that it was committed to narrowing the fiscal deficit, whilst reducing arrears and the rising debt.

However, the E-Levy has since been passed, whilst the government had introduced fiscal measures to revive the fiscal economy.  Coupled with the timely measures by the Bank of Ghana, this has since slowed down the rate of depreciation of the cedi against the US dollar.

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Meanwhile, the Angolan Kwanza is the best performing currency in Africa this year with an appreciation of 24% to the dollar in the first quarter of 2022.

It is followed by the South African rand with an appreciation of 9.38% to the dollar.

RANKING CURRENCY YEAR-TO-DATE
16th New Sudanese pound -2.08%
17th Ethiopian Birr -3.89%
18th Liberian dollar -4.94%
19th Sierra Leone leone -5.10%
20th Mauritian rupee -7.05%
21st Zambian kwacha -8.02%
22nd Egypt pound -14.27%
23rd Ghana cedi -18.21%

CURRENCIES WITH “BEST SPOT RETURNS” AT THE END OF QUARTER 1, 2022

RANKING CURRENCY YEAR-TO-DATE
1st Angolan kwanza  24.2%
2nd South African rand  9.38%
 3rd Guinean franc  4.40%
4th Botswana pula  2.59%
5th Nigerian naira 1.74%
6th Kenya shilling 1.59%
7th Rwanda franc 0.66%
8th Mozambique new metical 0.19%

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